RAILNORRKöPING 2019: 8TH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON RAILWAY OPERATIONS MODELLING AND ANALYSIS
PROGRAM FOR THURSDAY, JUNE 20TH
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09:00-10:00 Session 19: Short course: Lecture 1

Introduction to big data in traffic planning, Clas Rydergren, Linköping University, Sweden

Location: K2
09:00
Clas Rydergren (Linköping Univeristy, Sweden)
Introduction to big data in traffic planning

ABSTRACT. Large amounts of data on individual traveller’s choices from diverse sources provide great opportunities for traffic demand modelling. However, working with the data requires knowledge of how to filter and massage the data and how to gain insights into the quality of the data. This lecture will give an overview of data sources that are available today for use in travel demand modelling and traffic planning and give some examples of possible use. We will discuss a range of data sources, from sources that have been installed mainly for collecting travel related data, like radars sensors for measuring speeds and flows of vehicles on highways, to data that may provide insights of travel patterns but comes from sensors that is mainly installed for another purposes, like data generated in tele-communications networks for enabling mobile phone services. Examples from structuring, processing and analysis of radar measurements, smart card data, GPS data and mobile phone operator data are given, and insights from analyses where the data is combined with digital map data and time table information are shown. The examples cover both applications where insights are generated directly from the data and applications where the data is used as input to traffic operations and traffic planning models.

10:00-10:20Coffee Break
10:20-11:50 Session 20: Short course, Lecture 2

Mining, analysis and modelling of passenger flow data, time androute choice inrailway networks, Otto Anker Nielsen, Technical University of Denmark, Denmark.

Location: K2
10:20
Otto Anker Nielsen (Technical University of Denmark, Denmark)
Mining, analysis and modelling of passenger flow data, time androute choice inrailway networks

ABSTRACT. When looking at railway planning, a discrepancy exists between planners who focus on the train operations and publish fixed railway schedules, and passengers who look not only at the schedules but also at the entirety of their trip, from access to waiting to on-board travel and egress. Traditional surveys on passenger’s travel patterns from door to door – e.g. postcard analysis, stop interviews and other types of interview surveys – have been very expensive. Knowledge on passenger flows, route choices and preferences have therefore limited to some extent.

The lecture gives an overview of recent research in large-scale data sources, including smart card data, smartphone-based surveys, internet-based surveys, automatic counting systems and GPS-based tracing of vehicles and travelers, and how they can be merged and combined to obtain a better knowledge on passengers choices and preferences. Different applications of this is presented related to automatic OD-estimation, estimation of route choice models and analyses of arrival time distributions to stations. At the end of the lecture, examples are presented on how this knowledge can be used for a passenger oriented planning and optimization of public transport time-tables.

11:50-13:10Lunch Break

Served at Louis de Geer (10 min walk)

13:10-14:40 Session 21: Short course, Lecture 3

Analysis of train traffic and track capacity useto improve the quality of operations, Giorgio Medeossi, TRENOlab, Italy.

Location: K2
13:10
Giorgio Medeossi (TRENOlab, Italy)
Analysis of train traffic and track capacity use to improve the quality of operations

ABSTRACT. Over two centuries after their invention railways are still the backbone of mobility in the largest and most congested urban areas. However, facing the increasing transport demand appears more and more challenging given the rigidity of the system: maximising the utilisation and quality of service on the existing networks is crucial for all operators and transport authorities. Understanding the current operations in detail is a key prerequisite in this process, since it allows right-dimensioning the timetable and the investments. The most useful data source for a network-wide analysis are surely the train describer/ track circuit data, since they are available for the entire network and long time periods, and at the same time are easily manageable. The presentation will show methods for verifying the quality of datasets, identifying the critical elements on the network and suggesting improvements, as well as using the current process times as an input for testing the performances of investments and future timetables.

14:40-15:00Coffee Break
15:00-16:00 Session 22: Short course, Lecture 4

Machine Learning: theory and application Pavle Kecman, Allianz Data Office, The Netherlands

Location: K2
15:00
Pavle Kecman (Allianz Data Office, Netherlands)
Machine Learning: theory and application

ABSTRACT. A recent article in the Forbes magazine states: "There will be no data science job listings in about 10 years, and here is why. There are no MBA jobs in 2019, just like there are no computer science jobs". Data Science (DS), and Machine learning (ML) as its essence, is therefore about to become a part of standard toolkit expected from any professional in their domain. Railway operations generate a lot of data that can be used for understanding complex phenomena and improving the current processes by means of ML. This lecture has the purpose to introduce and enable academics and professionals to be able to effectively use ML in their work. In the first part we will introduce the main theoretical concepts and decompose a typical machine learning project into a sequence of steps and procedures from problem understanding to model deployment. A life cycle of an ML project will then be demonstrated on an example from railway operations. After the course, interested participants will have an opportunity to work on a ML use case using their preferred analytic tool.